David Montgomery Props & Projections
RB · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 81 | 50 - 119 | 44.5 | over |
| Anytime touchdown | 66.6% | probability | 60.8% | book implied |
We project David Montgomery for 81 rushing yards against DAL, above the 44.5 book line. The likely range runs 50 to 119; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is David Montgomery's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give David Montgomery a 66.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DAL. The books price it near 60.8%.
- What is David Montgomery's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project David Montgomery for 81 rushing yards (likely range 50 to 119), against a book line of 44.5.
- How often has David Montgomery gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, David Montgomery has finished over the book line 2 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.