Nico Collins Props & Projections
WR · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 78 | 42 - 125 | 74 | - |
| Receptions | 5 | 3 - 7 | 5.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 31.1% | probability | 39.2% | book implied |
We project Nico Collins for 78 receiving yards against DAL, above the 74 book line. The likely range runs 42 to 125; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Nico Collins's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Nico Collins a 31.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DAL. The books price it near 39.2%.
- What is Nico Collins's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Nico Collins for 78 receiving yards (likely range 42 to 125), against a book line of 74.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.