Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft Props & Projections

TE · GB · Week 4 vs TB

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6133 - 9641.5over
Receptions42 - 64-
Anytime touchdown56.3%probability29.4%book implied

We project Tucker Kraft for 61 receiving yards against TB, above the 41.5 book line. The likely range runs 33 to 96; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3ATLReceiving yards4555.526under
Wk 3ATLReceptions35.54under
Wk 2NYJReceiving yards4946.515under
Wk 2NYJReceptions33.52under
Wk 1MINReceiving yards354465over
Wk 1MINReceptions34--

Common questions

What is Tucker Kraft's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tucker Kraft a 56.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 29.4%.
What is Tucker Kraft's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tucker Kraft for 61 receiving yards (likely range 33 to 96), against a book line of 41.5.
How often has Tucker Kraft gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tucker Kraft has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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