Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Kenny Gainwell

Kenny Gainwell Props & Projections

RB · TB · Week 4 vs GB

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards3119 - 4416over
Receiving yards2011 - 3110.5-
Receptions32 - 52.5-
Anytime touchdown49.7%probability20%book implied

We project Kenny Gainwell for 31 rushing yards against GB, above the 16 book line. The likely range runs 19 to 44; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MINRushing yards1618.5-4under
Wk 3MINReceiving yards79.514over
Wk 3MINReceptions11.52over
Wk 2CLERushing yards30-10-
Wk 2CLEReceiving yards19-5-
Wk 2CLEReceptions3-3-
Wk 1CINRushing yards212215under
Wk 1CINReceiving yards2622.53under
Wk 1CINReceptions43.5--

Common questions

What is Kenny Gainwell's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Kenny Gainwell a 49.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against GB. The books price it near 20%.
What is Kenny Gainwell's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Kenny Gainwell for 31 rushing yards (likely range 19 to 44), against a book line of 16.
How often has Kenny Gainwell gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Kenny Gainwell has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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