KC Concepcion Props & Projections
WR · CLE · Week 4 vs PIT
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 29 | 14 - 48 | 72.5 | under |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 5.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 9.1% | probability | 12.5% | book implied |
We project KC Concepcion for 29 receiving yards against PIT, below the 72.5 book line. The likely range runs 14 to 48; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is KC Concepcion's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give KC Concepcion a 9.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against PIT. The books price it near 12.5%.
- What is KC Concepcion's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project KC Concepcion for 29 receiving yards (likely range 14 to 48), against a book line of 72.5.
- How often has KC Concepcion gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, KC Concepcion has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.