Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Bo Nix

Bo Nix Props & Projections

QB · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards233162 - 304223-

We project Bo Nix for 233 passing yards against SF, above the 223 book line. The likely range runs 162 to 304; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LAPassing yards231211.5186under
Wk 2JAXPassing yards227221.5288over
Wk 1KCPassing yards210225.5131under

Common questions

What is Bo Nix's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Bo Nix for 233 passing yards (likely range 162 to 304), against a book line of 223.
How often has Bo Nix gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Bo Nix has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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