Zay Flowers Props & Projections
WR · BAL · Week 4 vs TEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 69 | 38 - 109 | 67.5 | - |
| Receptions | 5 | 3 - 7 | 5.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 16% | probability | 41.7% | book implied |
We project Zay Flowers for 69 receiving yards against TEN, above the 67.5 book line. The likely range runs 38 to 109; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Zay Flowers's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Zay Flowers a 16% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TEN. The books price it near 41.7%.
- What is Zay Flowers's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Zay Flowers for 69 receiving yards (likely range 38 to 109), against a book line of 67.5.
- How often has Zay Flowers gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Zay Flowers has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.