Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Puka Nacua

Puka Nacua Props & Projections

WR · LA · Week 4 vs PHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards7139 - 11178.5-
Receptions64 - 96.5-
Anytime touchdown37%probability43.5%book implied

We project Puka Nacua for 71 receiving yards against PHI, below the 78.5 book line. The likely range runs 39 to 111; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 1SFReceiving yards85-74-
Wk 1SFReceptions7---

Common questions

What is Puka Nacua's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Puka Nacua a 37% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against PHI. The books price it near 43.5%.
What is Puka Nacua's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Puka Nacua for 71 receiving yards (likely range 39 to 111), against a book line of 78.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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