Kenneth Walker III Props & Projections
RB · KC · Week 4 vs LV
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 77 | 48 - 113 | 86 | - |
| Receiving yards | 23 | 12 - 36 | 21.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 65.7% | probability | 63.5% | book implied |
We project Kenneth Walker III for 77 rushing yards against LV, below the 86 book line. The likely range runs 48 to 113; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | MIA | Rushing yards | 83 | 81.5 | 70 | under |
| Wk 3 | MIA | Receiving yards | 28 | 3.5 | 3 | under |
| Wk 3 | MIA | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | IND | Rushing yards | 71 | 79.5 | 117 | over |
| Wk 2 | IND | Receiving yards | 24 | 20 | 61 | over |
| Wk 2 | IND | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | 6 | over |
| Wk 1 | DEN | Rushing yards | 46 | 64.5 | 173 | over |
| Wk 1 | DEN | Receiving yards | 16 | 21 | 18 | under |
| Wk 1 | DEN | Receptions | 2 | 3.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Kenneth Walker III's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Kenneth Walker III a 65.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 63.5%.
- What is Kenneth Walker III's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Kenneth Walker III for 77 rushing yards (likely range 48 to 113), against a book line of 86.
- How often has Kenneth Walker III gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Kenneth Walker III has finished over the book line 4 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.