Geno Smith Props & Projections
QB · NYJ · Week 4 vs CHI
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 202 | 143 - 265.2 | 227.5 | under |
We project Geno Smith for 202 passing yards against CHI, below the 227.5 book line. The likely range runs 143 to 265.2; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Geno Smith's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Geno Smith for 202 passing yards (likely range 143 to 265.2), against a book line of 227.5.
- How often has Geno Smith gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Geno Smith has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.