Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson Props & Projections

RB · NE · Week 4 vs BUF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards5033 - 7240over
Receptions21 - 31.5-
Anytime touchdown40.8%probability33.3%book implied

We project TreVeyon Henderson for 50 rushing yards against BUF, above the 40 book line. The likely range runs 33 to 72; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3JAXRushing yards4141.523under
Wk 3JAXReceiving yards119.56under
Wk 3JAXReceptions21.51under
Wk 2PITRushing yards3237.576over
Wk 2PITReceptions2---
Wk 1SEARushing yards41---
Wk 1SEAReceptions2---

Common questions

What is TreVeyon Henderson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give TreVeyon Henderson a 40.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 33.3%.
What is TreVeyon Henderson's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project TreVeyon Henderson for 50 rushing yards (likely range 33 to 72), against a book line of 40.
How often has TreVeyon Henderson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, TreVeyon Henderson has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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