Josh Downs Props & Projections
WR · IND · Week 4 vs WAS
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 38 | 20 - 60 | 62.5 | under |
| Receptions | 4 | 2 - 6 | 5.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 33.5% | probability | 35.1% | book implied |
We project Josh Downs for 38 receiving yards against WAS, below the 62.5 book line. The likely range runs 20 to 60; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Josh Downs's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Josh Downs a 33.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against WAS. The books price it near 35.1%.
- What is Josh Downs's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Josh Downs for 38 receiving yards (likely range 20 to 60), against a book line of 62.5.
- How often has Josh Downs gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Josh Downs has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.