Alvin Kamara Props & Projections
RB · NO · Week 4 vs ATL
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 37 | 23 - 57 | 37 | - |
| Receiving yards | 15 | 8 - 23 | 15.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 3.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 25.7% | probability | 46.5% | book implied |
We project Alvin Kamara for 37 rushing yards against ATL, below the 37 book line. The likely range runs 23 to 57; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Alvin Kamara's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Alvin Kamara a 25.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ATL. The books price it near 46.5%.
- What is Alvin Kamara's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Alvin Kamara for 37 rushing yards (likely range 23 to 57), against a book line of 37.
- How often has Alvin Kamara gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Alvin Kamara has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.