Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden Props & Projections

WR · GB · Week 4 vs TB

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3819 - 6057.5under
Receptions32 - 54.5-
Anytime touchdown6.6%probability32.3%book implied

We project Matthew Golden for 38 receiving yards against TB, below the 57.5 book line. The likely range runs 19 to 60; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3ATLReceiving yards7484.5100over
Wk 3ATLReceptions64.55over
Wk 2NYJReceiving yards4449.558over
Wk 2NYJReceptions43.54over
Wk 1MINReceiving yards213995over
Wk 1MINReceptions23.5--

Common questions

What is Matthew Golden's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Matthew Golden a 6.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 32.3%.
What is Matthew Golden's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Matthew Golden for 38 receiving yards (likely range 19 to 60), against a book line of 57.5.
How often has Matthew Golden gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Matthew Golden has finished over the book line 5 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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