Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Ryan Flournoy

Ryan Flournoy Props & Projections

WR · DAL · Week 4 vs HOU

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2412 - 3833.5-
Receptions21 - 33.5-
Anytime touchdown21%probability23.3%book implied

We project Ryan Flournoy for 24 receiving yards against HOU, below the 33.5 book line. The likely range runs 12 to 38; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BALReceiving yards283022under
Wk 3BALReceptions23.52under
Wk 2WASReceiving yards3030.523under
Wk 2WASReceptions32.55over
Wk 1NYGReceiving yards2824.522under
Wk 1NYGReceptions32.5--

Common questions

What is Ryan Flournoy's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Ryan Flournoy a 21% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against HOU. The books price it near 23.3%.
What is Ryan Flournoy's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Ryan Flournoy for 24 receiving yards (likely range 12 to 38), against a book line of 33.5.
How often has Ryan Flournoy gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Ryan Flournoy has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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