Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey Props & Projections

WR · LAC · Week 4 vs SEA

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4222 - 6746.5-
Receptions42 - 64.5-
Anytime touchdown32.4%probability25.6%book implied

We project Ladd McConkey for 42 receiving yards against SEA, below the 46.5 book line. The likely range runs 22 to 67; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BUFReceiving yards384566over
Wk 3BUFReceptions43.54over
Wk 2LVReceiving yards39-35-
Wk 2LVReceptions4-3-
Wk 1ARIReceiving yards4557.582over
Wk 1ARIReceptions44.5--

Common questions

What is Ladd McConkey's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Ladd McConkey a 32.4% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SEA. The books price it near 25.6%.
What is Ladd McConkey's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Ladd McConkey for 42 receiving yards (likely range 22 to 67), against a book line of 46.5.
How often has Ladd McConkey gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Ladd McConkey has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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