Derrick Henry Props & Projections
RB · BAL · Week 4 vs TEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 80 | 51 - 115 | 96.5 | under |
| Anytime touchdown | 58.9% | probability | 68.8% | book implied |
We project Derrick Henry for 80 rushing yards against TEN, below the 96.5 book line. The likely range runs 51 to 115; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Derrick Henry's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Derrick Henry a 58.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TEN. The books price it near 68.8%.
- What is Derrick Henry's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Derrick Henry for 80 rushing yards (likely range 51 to 115), against a book line of 96.5.
- How often has Derrick Henry gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Derrick Henry has finished over the book line 2 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.