AJ Barner Props & Projections
TE · SEA · Week 4 vs LAC
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 24 | 12 - 37 | 30.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 3.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 38.3% | probability | 27% | book implied |
We project AJ Barner for 24 receiving yards against LAC, below the 30.5 book line. The likely range runs 12 to 37; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is AJ Barner's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give AJ Barner a 38.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LAC. The books price it near 27%.
- What is AJ Barner's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project AJ Barner for 24 receiving yards (likely range 12 to 37), against a book line of 30.5.
- How often has AJ Barner gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, AJ Barner has finished over the book line 1 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.