George Kittle Props & Projections
TE · SF · Week 4 vs DEN
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 44 | 24.8 - 70 | 64.5 | under |
| Receptions | 4 | 3 - 7 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 49.7% | probability | 41.7% | book implied |
We project George Kittle for 44 receiving yards against DEN, below the 64.5 book line. The likely range runs 24.8 to 70; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is George Kittle's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give George Kittle a 49.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DEN. The books price it near 41.7%.
- What is George Kittle's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project George Kittle for 44 receiving yards (likely range 24.8 to 70), against a book line of 64.5.
- How often has George Kittle gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, George Kittle has finished over the book line 4 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.