Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Props & Projections

RB · LAC · Week 4 vs SEA

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown8.8%probability16.7%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BUFRushing yards135352under
Wk 2LVRushing yards21-24-
Wk 1ARIRushing yards2225.59under

Common questions

What is Keaton Mitchell's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Keaton Mitchell a 8.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SEA. The books price it near 16.7%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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