Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Woody Marks

Woody Marks Props & Projections

RB · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards3823 - 5934.5-
Anytime touchdown44.7%probability33.3%book implied

We project Woody Marks for 38 rushing yards against DAL, above the 34.5 book line. The likely range runs 23 to 59; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3INDRushing yards220.515over
Wk 3INDReceiving yards118.56under
Wk 3INDReceptions11.51under
Wk 2CINRushing yards42-8-
Wk 1BUFRushing yards2426.542over
Wk 1BUFReceiving yards89.5-2under
Wk 1BUFReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Woody Marks's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Woody Marks a 44.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DAL. The books price it near 33.3%.
What is Woody Marks's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Woody Marks for 38 rushing yards (likely range 23 to 59), against a book line of 34.5.
How often has Woody Marks gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Woody Marks has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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