Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Props & Projections

QB · CIN · Week 4 vs JAX

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards223157 - 292267.5under

We project Joe Burrow for 223 passing yards against JAX, below the 267.5 book line. The likely range runs 157 to 292; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3PITPassing yards238300.5282under
Wk 2HOUPassing yards211249.5207under
Wk 1TBPassing yards236269.5254under

Common questions

What is Joe Burrow's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Joe Burrow for 223 passing yards (likely range 157 to 292), against a book line of 267.5.
How often has Joe Burrow gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Joe Burrow has finished over the book line 0 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring