Jonathan Taylor Props & Projections
RB · IND · Week 4 vs WAS
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 89 | 58 - 126 | 90.5 | - |
| Receiving yards | 22 | 11 - 34 | 19.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 4 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 71% | probability | 76.2% | book implied |
We project Jonathan Taylor for 89 rushing yards against WAS, below the 90.5 book line. The likely range runs 58 to 126; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | HOU | Rushing yards | 72 | 70 | 68 | under |
| Wk 3 | HOU | Receiving yards | 20 | 4.5 | 4 | under |
| Wk 3 | HOU | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | KC | Rushing yards | 76 | 85.5 | 92 | over |
| Wk 2 | KC | Receiving yards | 21 | 16.5 | 40 | over |
| Wk 2 | KC | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | 4 | over |
| Wk 1 | BAL | Rushing yards | 77 | 76.5 | 98 | over |
| Wk 1 | BAL | Receiving yards | 26 | 17.5 | 23 | over |
| Wk 1 | BAL | Receptions | 3 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Jonathan Taylor's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jonathan Taylor a 71% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against WAS. The books price it near 76.2%.
- What is Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Jonathan Taylor for 89 rushing yards (likely range 58 to 126), against a book line of 90.5.
- How often has Jonathan Taylor gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jonathan Taylor has finished over the book line 5 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.