Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel Props & Projections

WR · HOU · Week 4 vs DAL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards169 - 2812.5-
Anytime touchdown9.7%probability14.3%book implied

We project Jaylin Noel for 16 receiving yards against DAL, above the 12.5 book line. The likely range runs 9 to 28; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3INDReceiving yards2917.517under
Wk 3INDReceptions32.52under
Wk 2CINReceiving yards15-31-
Wk 1BUFReceiving yards1114.553over
Wk 1BUFReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Jaylin Noel's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jaylin Noel a 9.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against DAL. The books price it near 14.3%.
What is Jaylin Noel's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jaylin Noel for 16 receiving yards (likely range 9 to 28), against a book line of 12.5.
How often has Jaylin Noel gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jaylin Noel has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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