Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton Props & Projections

WR · KC · Week 4 vs LV

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3014 - 5620.5-
Receptions21 - 21.5-
Anytime touchdown17.6%probability17.2%book implied

We project Tyquan Thornton for 30 receiving yards against LV, above the 20.5 book line. The likely range runs 14 to 56; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MIAReceiving yards2122.522under
Wk 3MIAReceptions12.52under
Wk 2INDReceiving yards2014.586over
Wk 2INDReceptions11.54over
Wk 1DENReceiving yards1919.50under
Wk 1DENReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Tyquan Thornton's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tyquan Thornton a 17.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 17.2%.
What is Tyquan Thornton's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tyquan Thornton for 30 receiving yards (likely range 14 to 56), against a book line of 20.5.
How often has Tyquan Thornton gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tyquan Thornton has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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