Travis Kelce Props & Projections
TE · KC · Week 4 vs LV
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 42 | 22 - 67 | 47.5 | - |
| Receptions | 4 | 2 - 6 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 22.7% | probability | 38.5% | book implied |
We project Travis Kelce for 42 receiving yards against LV, below the 47.5 book line. The likely range runs 22 to 67; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Travis Kelce's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Travis Kelce a 22.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 38.5%.
- What is Travis Kelce's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Travis Kelce for 42 receiving yards (likely range 22 to 67), against a book line of 47.5.
- How often has Travis Kelce gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Travis Kelce has finished over the book line 5 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.