Bucky Irving Props & Projections
RB · TB · Week 4 vs GB
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 60 | 36 - 93 | 54.5 | - |
| Receiving yards | 20 | 10 - 31 | 13.5 | - |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 2.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 32.6% | probability | 36.4% | book implied |
We project Bucky Irving for 60 rushing yards against GB, above the 54.5 book line. The likely range runs 36 to 93; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | MIN | Rushing yards | 62 | 57 | 46 | under |
| Wk 3 | MIN | Receiving yards | 12 | 16.5 | 12 | under |
| Wk 3 | MIN | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | under |
| Wk 2 | CLE | Rushing yards | 59 | 58.5 | 89 | over |
| Wk 2 | CLE | Receiving yards | 21 | - | 1 | - |
| Wk 2 | CLE | Receptions | 3 | - | 4 | - |
| Wk 1 | CIN | Rushing yards | 67 | 60.5 | 45 | under |
| Wk 1 | CIN | Receiving yards | 13 | 13.5 | 48 | over |
| Wk 1 | CIN | Receptions | 1 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Bucky Irving's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Bucky Irving a 32.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against GB. The books price it near 36.4%.
- What is Bucky Irving's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Bucky Irving for 60 rushing yards (likely range 36 to 93), against a book line of 54.5.
- How often has Bucky Irving gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Bucky Irving has finished over the book line 2 of 6 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.