Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Props & Projections

QB · JAX · Week 4 vs CIN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Passing yards242171 - 314260.5-

We project Trevor Lawrence for 242 passing yards against CIN, below the 260.5 book line. The likely range runs 171 to 314; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3NEPassing yards221228.5182under
Wk 2DENPassing yards225220.5189under
Wk 1CLEPassing yards213230.5245over

Common questions

What is Trevor Lawrence's passing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Trevor Lawrence for 242 passing yards (likely range 171 to 314), against a book line of 260.5.
How often has Trevor Lawrence gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Trevor Lawrence has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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