Jeremiyah Love Props & Projections
RB · ARI · Week 4 vs NYG
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 91 | 58 - 132 | 66.5 | over |
| Anytime touchdown | 30% | probability | 57.5% | book implied |
We project Jeremiyah Love for 91 rushing yards against NYG, above the 66.5 book line. The likely range runs 58 to 132; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SF | Rushing yards | 31 | 40.5 | 90 | over |
| Wk 3 | SF | Receiving yards | 15 | 15.5 | 19 | over |
| Wk 3 | SF | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 5 | over |
| Wk 2 | SEA | Rushing yards | 27 | 36.5 | 29 | under |
| Wk 2 | SEA | Receiving yards | 13 | 14.5 | 16 | over |
| Wk 2 | SEA | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | over |
| Wk 1 | LAC | Rushing yards | 32 | 38.5 | 41 | over |
| Wk 1 | LAC | Receiving yards | 12 | 15.5 | 9 | under |
| Wk 1 | LAC | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is Jeremiyah Love's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Jeremiyah Love a 30% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NYG. The books price it near 57.5%.
- What is Jeremiyah Love's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Jeremiyah Love for 91 rushing yards (likely range 58 to 132), against a book line of 66.5.
- How often has Jeremiyah Love gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jeremiyah Love has finished over the book line 6 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.