T.J. Hockenson Props & Projections
TE · MIN · Week 4 vs MIA
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 31 | 17 - 49 | 36.5 | - |
| Receptions | 4 | 2 - 6 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 25.9% | probability | 35.7% | book implied |
We project T.J. Hockenson for 31 receiving yards against MIA, below the 36.5 book line. The likely range runs 17 to 49; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is T.J. Hockenson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give T.J. Hockenson a 25.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIA. The books price it near 35.7%.
- What is T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project T.J. Hockenson for 31 receiving yards (likely range 17 to 49), against a book line of 36.5.
- How often has T.J. Hockenson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, T.J. Hockenson has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.