Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Props & Projections

WR · DAL · Week 4 vs HOU

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6736 - 10576.5-
Receptions53 - 85.5-
Anytime touchdown28.6%probability43.5%book implied

We project CeeDee Lamb for 67 receiving yards against HOU, below the 76.5 book line. The likely range runs 36 to 105; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BALReceiving yards77.581.5112over
Wk 3BALReceptions56.57over
Wk 2WASReceiving yards8575.5153over
Wk 2WASReceptions65.58over
Wk 1NYGReceiving yards7875.544under
Wk 1NYGReceptions66.5--

Common questions

What is CeeDee Lamb's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give CeeDee Lamb a 28.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against HOU. The books price it near 43.5%.
What is CeeDee Lamb's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project CeeDee Lamb for 67 receiving yards (likely range 36 to 105), against a book line of 76.5.
How often has CeeDee Lamb gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, CeeDee Lamb has finished over the book line 4 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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