Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Props & Projections

WR · MIN · Week 4 vs MIA

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4019 - 6655.5under
Receptions32 - 54.5-
Anytime touchdown30.2%probability44.4%book implied

We project Jordan Addison for 40 receiving yards against MIA, below the 55.5 book line. The likely range runs 19 to 66; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3TBReceiving yards5336.590over
Wk 3TBReceptions43.55over
Wk 2CHIReceiving yards4636.521under
Wk 2CHIReceptions32.52under
Wk 1GBReceiving yards3842.50under
Wk 1GBReceptions33.5--

Common questions

What is Jordan Addison's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jordan Addison a 30.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIA. The books price it near 44.4%.
What is Jordan Addison's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jordan Addison for 40 receiving yards (likely range 19 to 66), against a book line of 55.5.
How often has Jordan Addison gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jordan Addison has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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