Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Ty Johnson

Ty Johnson Props & Projections

RB · BUF · Week 4 vs NE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Anytime touchdown14.5%probability16.7%book implied

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line

Common questions

What is Ty Johnson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Ty Johnson a 14.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 16.7%.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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