Sam LaPorta Props & Projections
TE · DET · Week 4 vs CAR
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 46 | 26 - 71 | 48.5 | - |
| Receptions | 4 | 3 - 6 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 21.7% | probability | 35.7% | book implied |
We project Sam LaPorta for 46 receiving yards against CAR, below the 48.5 book line. The likely range runs 26 to 71; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Sam LaPorta's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Sam LaPorta a 21.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CAR. The books price it near 35.7%.
- What is Sam LaPorta's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Sam LaPorta for 46 receiving yards (likely range 26 to 71), against a book line of 48.5.
- How often has Sam LaPorta gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Sam LaPorta has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.