Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Props & Projections

WR · DEN · Week 4 vs SF

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards5327 - 8557.5-
Receptions42 - 64.5-
Anytime touchdown25.1%probability32%book implied

We project Jaylen Waddle for 53 receiving yards against SF, below the 57.5 book line. The likely range runs 27 to 85; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LAReceiving yards5359.510under
Wk 3LAReceptions44.52under
Wk 2JAXReceiving yards5053.5138over
Wk 2JAXReceptions44.58over
Wk 1KCReceiving yards4757.52under
Wk 1KCReceptions44.5--

Common questions

What is Jaylen Waddle's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jaylen Waddle a 25.1% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against SF. The books price it near 32%.
What is Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jaylen Waddle for 53 receiving yards (likely range 27 to 85), against a book line of 57.5.
How often has Jaylen Waddle gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Jaylen Waddle has finished over the book line 2 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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