Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren Props & Projections

TE · IND · Week 4 vs WAS

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4826 - 7748.5-
Receptions53 - 75.5-
Anytime touchdown35.3%probability38.5%book implied

We project Tyler Warren for 48 receiving yards against WAS, below the 48.5 book line. The likely range runs 26 to 77; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3HOUReceiving yards4255.555under
Wk 3HOUReceptions49.59under
Wk 2KCReceiving yards4444.521under
Wk 2KCReceptions54.56over
Wk 1BALReceiving yards584713under
Wk 1BALReceptions54.5--

Common questions

What is Tyler Warren's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tyler Warren a 35.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against WAS. The books price it near 38.5%.
What is Tyler Warren's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tyler Warren for 48 receiving yards (likely range 26 to 77), against a book line of 48.5.
How often has Tyler Warren gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tyler Warren has finished over the book line 1 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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