Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Props & Projections

WR · PIT · Week 4 vs CLE

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards3016 - 4931.5-
Receptions42 - 53.5-
Anytime touchdown32.7%probability16%book implied

We project Michael Pittman for 30 receiving yards against CLE, below the 31.5 book line. The likely range runs 16 to 49; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3CINReceiving yards3016.516under
Wk 3CINReceptions32.52under
Wk 1ATLReceiving yards4638.558over
Wk 1ATLReceptions53.5--

Common questions

What is Michael Pittman's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Michael Pittman a 32.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CLE. The books price it near 16%.
What is Michael Pittman's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Michael Pittman for 30 receiving yards (likely range 16 to 49), against a book line of 31.5.
How often has Michael Pittman gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Michael Pittman has finished over the book line 1 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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