Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
George Pickens

George Pickens Props & Projections

WR · DAL · Week 4 vs HOU

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards6334 - 10067.5-
Receptions53 - 74.5-
Anytime touchdown32.9%probability37.7%book implied

We project George Pickens for 63 receiving yards against HOU, below the 67.5 book line. The likely range runs 34 to 100; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3BALReceiving yards756482over
Wk 3BALReceptions55.57over
Wk 2WASReceiving yards7963.540under
Wk 2WASReceptions54.56over
Wk 1NYGReceiving yards7466.528under
Wk 1NYGReceptions54.5--

Common questions

What is George Pickens's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give George Pickens a 32.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against HOU. The books price it near 37.7%.
What is George Pickens's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project George Pickens for 63 receiving yards (likely range 34 to 100), against a book line of 67.5.
How often has George Pickens gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, George Pickens has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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