James Cook Props & Projections
RB · BUF · Week 4 vs NE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 75 | 48 - 109 | 87.5 | under |
| Receptions | 2 | 1 - 3 | 1.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 50.6% | probability | 56.9% | book implied |
We project James Cook for 75 rushing yards against NE, below the 87.5 book line. The likely range runs 48 to 109; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
| Week | Opp | Market | Projection | Book line | Actual | vs line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LAC | Rushing yards | 77 | 120.5 | 154 | over |
| Wk 3 | LAC | Receiving yards | 10 | 0.5 | 0 | under |
| Wk 3 | LAC | Receptions | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | under |
| Wk 2 | DET | Rushing yards | 80 | 79.5 | 135 | over |
| Wk 2 | DET | Receiving yards | 15 | 17.5 | 4 | under |
| Wk 2 | DET | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | under |
| Wk 1 | HOU | Rushing yards | 72 | 73.5 | 57 | under |
| Wk 1 | HOU | Receiving yards | 13 | 19.5 | 12 | under |
| Wk 1 | HOU | Receptions | 2 | 2.5 | - | - |
Common questions
- What is James Cook's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give James Cook a 50.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against NE. The books price it near 56.9%.
- What is James Cook's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project James Cook for 75 rushing yards (likely range 48 to 109), against a book line of 87.5.
- How often has James Cook gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, James Cook has finished over the book line 2 of 8 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.