Kyler Murray Props & Projections
QB · MIN · Week 4 vs MIA
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 33 | 22 - 45 | 20.5 | over |
| Anytime touchdown | 25.2% | probability | 22.7% | book implied |
We project Kyler Murray for 33 rushing yards against MIA, above the 20.5 book line. The likely range runs 22 to 45; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Kyler Murray's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Kyler Murray a 25.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIA. The books price it near 22.7%.
- What is Kyler Murray's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Kyler Murray for 33 rushing yards (likely range 22 to 45), against a book line of 20.5.
- How often has Kyler Murray gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Kyler Murray has finished over the book line 0 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.