Christian Watson Props & Projections
WR · GB · Week 4 vs TB
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 83 | 45 - 131 | 66 | over |
| Receptions | 5 | 3 - 7 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 38.7% | probability | 39.2% | book implied |
We project Christian Watson for 83 receiving yards against TB, above the 66 book line. The likely range runs 45 to 131; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Christian Watson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Christian Watson a 38.7% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against TB. The books price it near 39.2%.
- What is Christian Watson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Christian Watson for 83 receiving yards (likely range 45 to 131), against a book line of 66.
- How often has Christian Watson gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Christian Watson has finished over the book line 4 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.