Drake Maye Props & Projections
QB · NE · Week 4 vs BUF
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 223 | 160 - 287 | 231.5 | - |
| Rushing yards | 25 | 15 - 36 | 26.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 36.9% | probability | 17.9% | book implied |
We project Drake Maye for 223 passing yards against BUF, below the 231.5 book line. The likely range runs 160 to 287; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Drake Maye's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give Drake Maye a 36.9% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against BUF. The books price it near 17.9%.
- What is Drake Maye's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Drake Maye for 223 passing yards (likely range 160 to 287), against a book line of 231.5.
- How often has Drake Maye gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Drake Maye has finished over the book line 0 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.