Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Jaylen Wright

Jaylen Wright Props & Projections

RB · MIA · Week 4 vs MIN

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards7144 - 10428.5over
Anytime touchdown54.3%probability23.8%book implied

We project Jaylen Wright for 71 rushing yards against MIN, above the 28.5 book line. The likely range runs 44 to 104; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 2SFRushing yards26-11-
Wk 1LVRushing yards27--1-

Common questions

What is Jaylen Wright's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Jaylen Wright a 54.3% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against MIN. The books price it near 23.8%.
What is Jaylen Wright's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Jaylen Wright for 71 rushing yards (likely range 44 to 104), against a book line of 28.5.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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