Patrick Mahomes Props & Projections
QB · KC · Week 4 vs LV
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 243 | 171 - 317 | 236.5 | - |
We project Patrick Mahomes for 243 passing yards against LV, above the 236.5 book line. The likely range runs 171 to 317; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is Patrick Mahomes's passing yards projection for Week 4?
- We project Patrick Mahomes for 243 passing yards (likely range 171 to 317), against a book line of 236.5.
- How often has Patrick Mahomes gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, Patrick Mahomes has finished over the book line 2 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.