Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Props & Projections

WR · NYJ · Week 4 vs CHI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards5228 - 8375.5under
Receptions53 - 76.5-
Anytime touchdown28.6%probability40%book implied

We project Garrett Wilson for 52 receiving yards against CHI, below the 75.5 book line. The likely range runs 28 to 83; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3DETReceiving yards29106.5107over
Wk 3DETReceptions39.510over
Wk 2GBReceiving yards436257under
Wk 2GBReceptions45.55under
Wk 1TENReceiving yards496179over
Wk 1TENReceptions55.5--

Common questions

What is Garrett Wilson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Garrett Wilson a 28.6% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CHI. The books price it near 40%.
What is Garrett Wilson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Garrett Wilson for 52 receiving yards (likely range 28 to 83), against a book line of 75.5.
How often has Garrett Wilson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Garrett Wilson has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring