Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins Props & Projections

WR · CIN · Week 4 vs JAX

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4523 - 7462.5under
Receptions32 - 54.5-
Anytime touchdown32%probability42.6%book implied

We project Tee Higgins for 45 receiving yards against JAX, below the 62.5 book line. The likely range runs 23 to 74; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3PITReceiving yards5791.590under
Wk 3PITReceptions466push
Wk 2HOUReceiving yards4253.595over
Wk 2HOUReceptions33.55over
Wk 1TBReceiving yards576259under
Wk 1TBReceptions44.5--

Common questions

What is Tee Higgins's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Tee Higgins a 32% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against JAX. The books price it near 42.6%.
What is Tee Higgins's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Tee Higgins for 45 receiving yards (likely range 23 to 74), against a book line of 62.5.
How often has Tee Higgins gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Tee Higgins has finished over the book line 2 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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