Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Theo Johnson

Theo Johnson Props & Projections

TE · NYG · Week 4 vs ARI

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards2813 - 45--
Receptions21 - 4--
Anytime touchdown30.5%probability13.3%book implied

We project Theo Johnson for 28 receiving yards against ARI. The likely range runs 13 to 45; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3TENReceiving yards25---
Wk 3TENReceptions2---
Wk 1DALReceiving yards1514.59under
Wk 1DALReceptions11.5--

Common questions

What is Theo Johnson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Theo Johnson a 30.5% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ARI. The books price it near 13.3%.
What is Theo Johnson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Theo Johnson for 28 receiving yards (likely range 13 to 45).
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

Keep exploring