DK Metcalf Props & Projections
WR · PIT · Week 4 vs CLE
This week
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Book line | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yards | 41 | 20 - 66 | 48.5 | - |
| Receptions | 3 | 2 - 5 | 4.5 | - |
| Anytime touchdown | 26.8% | probability | 23.3% | book implied |
We project DK Metcalf for 41 receiving yards against CLE, below the 48.5 book line. The likely range runs 20 to 66; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.
Projection vs results, week by week
Common questions
- What is DK Metcalf's anytime touchdown probability this week?
- Our simulations give DK Metcalf a 26.8% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against CLE. The books price it near 23.3%.
- What is DK Metcalf's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
- We project DK Metcalf for 41 receiving yards (likely range 20 to 66), against a book line of 48.5.
- How often has DK Metcalf gone over the book line?
- Across the props we have tracked and graded, DK Metcalf has finished over the book line 3 of 5 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
- Where do these numbers come from?
- Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.