Opening Line AnalyticsNFL
Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Props & Projections

TE · NO · Week 4 vs ATL

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Receiving yards4524 - 7139.5-
Receptions42 - 63.5-
Anytime touchdown11.2%probability30.3%book implied

We project Juwan Johnson for 45 receiving yards against ATL, above the 39.5 book line. The likely range runs 24 to 71; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3LVReceiving yards3635.553over
Wk 3LVReceptions33.58over
Wk 2BALReceiving yards52-66-
Wk 2BALReceptions5-4-
Wk 1DETReceiving yards4842.554over
Wk 1DETReceptions44.5--

Common questions

What is Juwan Johnson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Juwan Johnson a 11.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against ATL. The books price it near 30.3%.
What is Juwan Johnson's receiving yards projection for Week 4?
We project Juwan Johnson for 45 receiving yards (likely range 24 to 71), against a book line of 39.5.
How often has Juwan Johnson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Juwan Johnson has finished over the book line 3 of 3 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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