Opening Line AnalyticsNFL

Emmett Johnson Props & Projections

RB · KC · Week 4 vs LV

This week

MarketProjectionLikely rangeBook lineLean
Rushing yards2314 - 3516.5-
Anytime touchdown10.2%probability19.6%book implied

We project Emmett Johnson for 23 rushing yards against LV, above the 16.5 book line. The likely range runs 14 to 35; the full distribution comes from 10,000 simulations of this game.

Projection vs results, week by week

WeekOppMarketProjectionBook lineActualvs line
Wk 3MIARushing yards2514.517over
Wk 3MIAReceiving yards1010.50under
Wk 3MIAReceptions20.5--
Wk 2INDRushing yards1316.515under
Wk 1DENRushing yards211524over

Common questions

What is Emmett Johnson's anytime touchdown probability this week?
Our simulations give Emmett Johnson a 10.2% chance to score a touchdown in Week 4 against LV. The books price it near 19.6%.
What is Emmett Johnson's rushing yards projection for Week 4?
We project Emmett Johnson for 23 rushing yards (likely range 14 to 35), against a book line of 16.5.
How often has Emmett Johnson gone over the book line?
Across the props we have tracked and graded, Emmett Johnson has finished over the book line 2 of 4 times. Every week's projection, line, and actual is in the game log below.
Where do these numbers come from?
Each game is simulated 10,000 times. We publish the projected median plus the p25 to p75 range next to the book line, so you can see the full spread of outcomes rather than a single number.

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